Virginia Political Newsletter

Virginia Political Newsletter

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Virginia Political Newsletter
Virginia Political Newsletter
The Princeton Gerrymandering Project graded Virginia’s new map proposals
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The Princeton Gerrymandering Project graded Virginia’s new map proposals

Kiggans is forced to answer if she would support Trump in 2024

Brandon Jarvis's avatar
Brandon Jarvis
Dec 09, 2021
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Virginia Political Newsletter
Virginia Political Newsletter
The Princeton Gerrymandering Project graded Virginia’s new map proposals
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This is a daily newsletter covering Virginia politics from top to bottom. Please consider supporting non-partisan, independent news by becoming a paid subscriber today.


The Princeton Gerrymandering Project reviewed Virginia’s new map proposals

The Princeton Gerrymandering Project released grades for the redistricting proposals released yesterday by the special masters in Virginia.

They scored the congressional draft as an “A” overall and in Partisan Fairness, with “Cs” in Competitiveness and Geography.

“It has five pretty safe D seats, 2 very safe R seats, 2 lean R seats, and 2 lean D seats (for a likely delegation of 7D-4R). These results could be quite different in R-leaning years, with a delegation of 6R-5D from Virginia quite feasible.”

They scored the Virginia state Senate maps as a “B” overall and in Partisan Fairness, with an “F” in Competitiveness and a “C” in Geography. The “B” in Fairness is due to a grade decrease deriving from the F in Competitiveness, they said.

“The districts would suggest a 24D-16R Senate, but three of those seats are competitive. There appear to be 7 Black opportunity-to-elect districts, and 14 districts that are majority-minority.”

They scored the House of Delegates map as an “A” overall and in Partisan Fairness, a “B” in Competitiveness, and a “C” in Geography.

“Using our election averages, it appears to have 58D seats and 42R seats, with 17 competitive districts.”

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Did you miss our newsletter this morning? New map proposals for redistricting sent Virginia politics into a whirlwind Wednesday night


Twitter avatar for @Redistrict
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
Rep. Jennifer Wexton (D) would remain the favorite in a Youngkin +4 #VA10, but Rep. Elaine Luria (D) would be a slight underdog in a Youngkin +11 #VA02.
Twitter avatar for @JMilesColeman
J. Miles Coleman @JMilesColeman
Last month's #VAGov results by the special masters' plan out today. Youngkin carried 6 of 11 districts while winning by 2 points overall. https://t.co/j5M8sEhd8K
3:57 PM ∙ Dec 9, 2021
64Likes12Retweets

Also in the newsletter today:

  • Delegates Josh Cole and Danica Roem provide some insight to Virginia Scope on their thinking about possibly running for Congress. (One of them doesn’t seem interested in a congressional run at all.)

  • State Sen. Jen Kiggans is forced to answer if she would support Trump in 2024

  • Spanberger challenger Taylor Keeney released a long statement following the proposed redistricting maps

  • A list of who is actually seeking the Democratic nomination in the new Prince William district. (so far)


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